+# ==============================================================================
+def mmqr(
+ func = None,
+ x0 = None,
+ fprime = None,
+ bounds = None,
+ quantile = 0.5,
+ maxfun = 15000,
+ toler = 1.e-06,
+ y = None,
+ ):
+ """
+ Implémentation informatique de l'algorithme MMQR, basée sur la publication :
+ David R. Hunter, Kenneth Lange, "Quantile Regression via an MM Algorithm",
+ Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 9, 1, pp.60-77, 2000.
+ """
+ #
+ # Recuperation des donnees et informations initiales
+ # --------------------------------------------------
+ variables = numpy.ravel( x0 )
+ mesures = numpy.ravel( y )
+ increment = sys.float_info[0]
+ p = variables.size
+ n = mesures.size
+ quantile = float(quantile)
+ #
+ # Calcul des parametres du MM
+ # ---------------------------
+ tn = float(toler) / n
+ e0 = -tn / math.log(tn)
+ epsilon = (e0-tn)/(1+math.log(e0))
+ #
+ # Calculs d'initialisation
+ # ------------------------
+ residus = mesures - numpy.ravel( func( variables ) )
+ poids = 1./(epsilon+numpy.abs(residus))
+ veps = 1. - 2. * quantile - residus * poids
+ lastsurrogate = -numpy.sum(residus*veps) - (1.-2.*quantile)*numpy.sum(residus)
+ iteration = 0
+ #
+ # Recherche iterative
+ # -------------------
+ while (increment > toler) and (iteration < maxfun) :
+ iteration += 1
+ #
+ Derivees = numpy.array(fprime(variables))
+ Derivees = Derivees.reshape(n,p) # Necessaire pour remettre en place la matrice si elle passe par des tuyaux YACS
+ DeriveesT = Derivees.transpose()
+ M = numpy.dot( DeriveesT , (numpy.array(numpy.matrix(p*[poids,]).T)*Derivees) )
+ SM = numpy.transpose(numpy.dot( DeriveesT , veps ))
+ step = - numpy.linalg.lstsq( M, SM, rcond=-1 )[0]
+ #
+ variables = variables + step
+ if bounds is not None:
+ # Attention : boucle infinie à éviter si un intervalle est trop petit
+ while( (variables < numpy.ravel(numpy.asmatrix(bounds)[:,0])).any() or (variables > numpy.ravel(numpy.asmatrix(bounds)[:,1])).any() ):
+ step = step/2.
+ variables = variables - step
+ residus = mesures - numpy.ravel( func(variables) )
+ surrogate = numpy.sum(residus**2 * poids) + (4.*quantile-2.) * numpy.sum(residus)
+ #
+ while ( (surrogate > lastsurrogate) and ( max(list(numpy.abs(step))) > 1.e-16 ) ) :
+ step = step/2.
+ variables = variables - step
+ residus = mesures - numpy.ravel( func(variables) )
+ surrogate = numpy.sum(residus**2 * poids) + (4.*quantile-2.) * numpy.sum(residus)
+ #
+ increment = lastsurrogate-surrogate
+ poids = 1./(epsilon+numpy.abs(residus))
+ veps = 1. - 2. * quantile - residus * poids
+ lastsurrogate = -numpy.sum(residus * veps) - (1.-2.*quantile)*numpy.sum(residus)
+ #
+ # Mesure d'écart
+ # --------------
+ Ecart = quantile * numpy.sum(residus) - numpy.sum( residus[residus<0] )
+ #
+ return variables, Ecart, [n,p,iteration,increment,0]
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def multi3dvar(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q, oneCycle):
+ """
+ 3DVAR multi-pas et multi-méthodes
+ """
+ #
+ # Initialisation
+ # --------------
+ Xn = numpy.ravel(Xb).reshape((-1,1))
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State":
+ M = EM["Direct"].appliedTo
+ #
+ if len(selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"])==0 or not selfA._parameters["nextStep"]:
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xn )
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ if hasattr(B,"asfullmatrix"): Pn = B.asfullmatrix(Xn.size)
+ else: Pn = B
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( Pn )
+ if selfA._toStore("ForecastState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["ForecastState"].store( Xn )
+ #
+ if hasattr(Y,"stepnumber"):
+ duration = Y.stepnumber()
+ else:
+ duration = 2
+ #
+ # Multi-pas
+ # ---------
+ for step in range(duration-1):
+ if hasattr(Y,"store"):
+ Ynpu = numpy.ravel( Y[step+1] ).reshape((-1,1))
+ else:
+ Ynpu = numpy.ravel( Y ).reshape((-1,1))
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State": # Forecast
+ Xn = selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"][-1]
+ Xn_predicted = M( Xn )
+ if selfA._toStore("ForecastState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["ForecastState"].store( Xn_predicted )
+ elif selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters": # No forecast
+ # --- > Par principe, M = Id, Q = 0
+ Xn_predicted = Xn
+ Xn_predicted = numpy.ravel(Xn_predicted).reshape((-1,1))
+ #
+ oneCycle(selfA, Xn_predicted, Ynpu, U, HO, None, None, R, B, None)
+ #
+ return 0
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def psas3dvar(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q):
+ """
+ 3DVAR PSAS
+ """
+ #
+ # Initialisations
+ # ---------------
+ #
+ # Opérateurs
+ Hm = HO["Direct"].appliedTo
+ #
+ # Utilisation éventuelle d'un vecteur H(Xb) précalculé
+ if HO["AppliedInX"] is not None and "HXb" in HO["AppliedInX"]:
+ HXb = Hm( Xb, HO["AppliedInX"]["HXb"] )
+ else:
+ HXb = Hm( Xb )
+ HXb = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( HXb )).T
+ if Y.size != HXb.size:
+ raise ValueError("The size %i of observations Y and %i of observed calculation H(X) are different, they have to be identical."%(Y.size,HXb.size))
+ if max(Y.shape) != max(HXb.shape):
+ raise ValueError("The shapes %s of observations Y and %s of observed calculation H(X) are different, they have to be identical."%(Y.shape,HXb.shape))
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtBackground"):
+ HtMb = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xb)
+ HtMb = HtMb.reshape(Y.size,Xb.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ selfA.StoredVariables["JacobianMatrixAtBackground"].store( HtMb )
+ #
+ Ht = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(Xb)
+ BHT = B * Ht.T
+ HBHTpR = R + Ht * BHT
+ Innovation = Y - HXb
+ #
+ # Point de démarrage de l'optimisation
+ Xini = numpy.zeros(Xb.shape)
+ #
+ # Définition de la fonction-coût
+ # ------------------------------
+ def CostFunction(w):
+ _W = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( w )).T
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"].store( Xb + BHT * _W )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"].store( Hm( Xb + BHT * _W ) )
+ if selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["InnovationAtCurrentState"].store( Innovation )
+ #
+ Jb = float( 0.5 * _W.T * HBHTpR * _W )
+ Jo = float( - _W.T * Innovation )
+ J = Jb + Jo
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"]) )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"].store( Jb )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"].store( Jo )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ].store( J )
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["IndexOfOptimum"].store( IndexMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum" ].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ][IndexMin] )
+ return J
+ #
+ def GradientOfCostFunction(w):
+ _W = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( w )).T
+ GradJb = HBHTpR * _W
+ GradJo = - Innovation
+ GradJ = numpy.ravel( GradJb ) + numpy.ravel( GradJo )
+ return GradJ
+ #
+ # Minimisation de la fonctionnelle
+ # --------------------------------
+ nbPreviousSteps = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"].stepnumber()
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "LBFGSB":
+ if "0.19" <= scipy.version.version <= "1.1.0":
+ import lbfgsbhlt as optimiseur
+ else:
+ import scipy.optimize as optimiseur
+ Minimum, J_optimal, Informations = optimiseur.fmin_l_bfgs_b(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"]-1,
+ factr = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"]*1.e14,
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ iprint = selfA._parameters["optiprint"],
+ )
+ nfeval = Informations['funcalls']
+ rc = Informations['warnflag']
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "TNC":
+ Minimum, nfeval, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_tnc(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ ftol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ messages = selfA._parameters["optmessages"],
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "CG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_cg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "NCG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, hcalls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_ncg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ avextol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "BFGS":
+ Minimum, fopt, gopt, Hopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_bfgs(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ else:
+ raise ValueError("Error in Minimizer name: %s"%selfA._parameters["Minimizer"])
+ #
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ MinJ = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Correction pour pallier a un bug de TNC sur le retour du Minimum
+ # ----------------------------------------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or selfA._toStore("CurrentState"):
+ Minimum = selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ Minimum = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ else:
+ Minimum = Xb + BHT * numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ #
+ # Obtention de l'analyse
+ # ----------------------
+ Xa = Minimum
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xa )
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ elif selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"][-1]
+ else:
+ HXa = Hm( Xa )
+ #
+ # Calcul de la covariance d'analyse
+ # ---------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HtM = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HtM = HtM.reshape(Y.size,Xa.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HaM = HO["Adjoint"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HaM = HaM.reshape(Xa.size,Y.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ BI = B.getI()
+ RI = R.getI()
+ HessienneI = []
+ nb = Xa.size
+ for i in range(nb):
+ _ee = numpy.matrix(numpy.zeros(nb)).T
+ _ee[i] = 1.
+ _HtEE = numpy.dot(HtM,_ee)
+ _HtEE = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HtEE )).T
+ HessienneI.append( numpy.ravel( BI*_ee + HaM * (RI * _HtEE) ) )
+ HessienneI = numpy.matrix( HessienneI )
+ A = HessienneI.I
+ if min(A.shape) != max(A.shape):
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is of shape %s, despites it has to be a squared matrix. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,str(A.shape)))
+ if (numpy.diag(A) < 0).any():
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A has at least one negative value on its diagonal. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,))
+ if logging.getLogger().level < logging.WARNING: # La verification n'a lieu qu'en debug
+ try:
+ L = numpy.linalg.cholesky( A )
+ except:
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is not symmetric positive-definite. Please check your a priori covariances and your observation operator."%(selfA._name,))
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( A )
+ if selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"].store( HtM )
+ if selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ if (Y.size <= Xb.size): KG = B * HaM * (R + numpy.dot(HtM, B * HaM)).I
+ elif (Y.size > Xb.size): KG = (BI + numpy.dot(HaM, RI * HtM)).I * HaM * RI
+ selfA.StoredVariables["KalmanGainAtOptimum"].store( KG )
+ #
+ # Calculs et/ou stockages supplémentaires
+ # ---------------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency") or \
+ selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ d = Y - HXb
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Innovation"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Xb) - numpy.ravel(Xa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Y) - numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMB"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2"):
+ TraceR = R.trace(Y.size)
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SigmaObs2"].store( float( (d.T * (numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(Y)).T-numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(HXa)).T)) ) / TraceR )
+ if selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["MahalanobisConsistency"].store( float( 2.*MinJ/d.size ) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ nech = selfA._parameters["NumberOfSamplesForQuantiles"]
+ HXa = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HXa )).T
+ YfQ = None
+ for i in range(nech):
+ if selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "Linear":
+ dXr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A) - Xa.A1).T
+ dYr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HtM * dXr )).T
+ Yr = HXa + dYr
+ elif selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "NonLinear":
+ Xr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A)).T
+ Yr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( Hm( Xr ) )).T
+ if YfQ is None:
+ YfQ = Yr
+ else:
+ YfQ = numpy.hstack((YfQ,Yr))
+ YfQ.sort(axis=-1)
+ YQ = None
+ for quantile in selfA._parameters["Quantiles"]:
+ if not (0. <= float(quantile) <= 1.): continue
+ indice = int(nech * float(quantile) - 1./nech)
+ if YQ is None: YQ = YfQ[:,indice]
+ else: YQ = numpy.hstack((YQ,YfQ[:,indice]))
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulationQuantiles"].store( YQ )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtBackground"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtBackground"].store( numpy.ravel(HXb) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"].store( numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ #
+ return 0
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def senkf(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q, VariantM="KalmanFilterFormula"):
+ """
+ Stochastic EnKF
+ """
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters":
+ selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] = True
+ #
+ # Opérateurs
+ # ----------
+ H = HO["Direct"].appliedControledFormTo
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State":
+ M = EM["Direct"].appliedControledFormTo
+ #
+ if CM is not None and "Tangent" in CM and U is not None:
+ Cm = CM["Tangent"].asMatrix(Xb)
+ else:
+ Cm = None
+ #
+ # Nombre de pas identique au nombre de pas d'observations
+ # -------------------------------------------------------
+ if hasattr(Y,"stepnumber"):
+ duration = Y.stepnumber()
+ __p = numpy.cumprod(Y.shape())[-1]
+ else:
+ duration = 2
+ __p = numpy.array(Y).size
+ #
+ # Précalcul des inversions de B et R
+ # ----------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJ") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJb") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJo") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ BI = B.getI()
+ RI = R.getI()
+ #
+ # Initialisation
+ # --------------
+ __n = Xb.size
+ __m = selfA._parameters["NumberOfMembers"]
+ if hasattr(B,"asfullmatrix"): Pn = B.asfullmatrix(__n)
+ else: Pn = B
+ if hasattr(R,"asfullmatrix"): Rn = R.asfullmatrix(__p)
+ else: Rn = R
+ if hasattr(Q,"asfullmatrix"): Qn = Q.asfullmatrix(__n)
+ else: Qn = Q
+ Xn = EnsembleOfBackgroundPerturbations( Xb, None, __m )
+ #
+ if len(selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"])==0 or not selfA._parameters["nextStep"]:
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xb )
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( Pn )
+ covarianceXa = Pn
+ #
+ previousJMinimum = numpy.finfo(float).max
+ #
+ for step in range(duration-1):
+ if hasattr(Y,"store"):
+ Ynpu = numpy.ravel( Y[step+1] ).reshape((__p,1))
+ else:
+ Ynpu = numpy.ravel( Y ).reshape((__p,1))
+ #
+ if U is not None:
+ if hasattr(U,"store") and len(U)>1:
+ Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U[step] )).T
+ elif hasattr(U,"store") and len(U)==1:
+ Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U[0] )).T
+ else:
+ Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U )).T
+ else:
+ Un = None
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["InflationType"] == "MultiplicativeOnBackgroundAnomalies":
+ Xn = CovarianceInflation( Xn,
+ selfA._parameters["InflationType"],
+ selfA._parameters["InflationFactor"],
+ )
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State": # Forecast + Q and observation of forecast
+ EMX = M( [(Xn[:,i], Un) for i in range(__m)],
+ argsAsSerie = True,
+ returnSerieAsArrayMatrix = True )
+ qi = numpy.random.multivariate_normal(numpy.zeros(__n), Qn, size=__m).T
+ Xn_predicted = EMX + qi
+ HX_predicted = H( [(Xn_predicted[:,i], Un) for i in range(__m)],
+ argsAsSerie = True,
+ returnSerieAsArrayMatrix = True )
+ if Cm is not None and Un is not None: # Attention : si Cm est aussi dans M, doublon !
+ Cm = Cm.reshape(__n,Un.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ Xn_predicted = Xn_predicted + Cm * Un
+ elif selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters": # Observation of forecast
+ # --- > Par principe, M = Id, Q = 0
+ Xn_predicted = Xn
+ HX_predicted = H( [(Xn_predicted[:,i], Un) for i in range(__m)],
+ argsAsSerie = True,
+ returnSerieAsArrayMatrix = True )
+ #
+ # Mean of forecast and observation of forecast
+ Xfm = Xn_predicted.mean(axis=1, dtype=mfp).astype('float').reshape((__n,1))
+ Hfm = HX_predicted.mean(axis=1, dtype=mfp).astype('float').reshape((__p,1))
+ #
+ #--------------------------
+ if VariantM == "KalmanFilterFormula05":
+ PfHT, HPfHT = 0., 0.
+ for i in range(__m):
+ Exfi = Xn_predicted[:,i].reshape((__n,1)) - Xfm
+ Eyfi = HX_predicted[:,i].reshape((__p,1)) - Hfm
+ PfHT += Exfi * Eyfi.T
+ HPfHT += Eyfi * Eyfi.T
+ PfHT = (1./(__m-1)) * PfHT
+ HPfHT = (1./(__m-1)) * HPfHT
+ Kn = PfHT * ( R + HPfHT ).I
+ del PfHT, HPfHT
+ #
+ for i in range(__m):
+ ri = numpy.random.multivariate_normal(numpy.zeros(__p), Rn)
+ Xn[:,i] = numpy.ravel(Xn_predicted[:,i]) + Kn @ (numpy.ravel(Ynpu) + ri - HX_predicted[:,i])
+ #--------------------------
+ elif VariantM == "KalmanFilterFormula16":
+ EpY = EnsembleOfCenteredPerturbations(Ynpu, Rn, __m)
+ EpYm = EpY.mean(axis=1, dtype=mfp).astype('float').reshape((__p,1))
+ #
+ EaX = EnsembleOfAnomalies( Xn_predicted ) / math.sqrt(__m-1)
+ EaY = (HX_predicted - Hfm - EpY + EpYm) / math.sqrt(__m-1)
+ #
+ Kn = EaX @ EaY.T @ numpy.linalg.inv( EaY @ EaY.T)
+ #
+ for i in range(__m):
+ Xn[:,i] = numpy.ravel(Xn_predicted[:,i]) + Kn @ (numpy.ravel(EpY[:,i]) - HX_predicted[:,i])
+ #--------------------------
+ else:
+ raise ValueError("VariantM has to be chosen in the authorized methods list.")
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["InflationType"] == "MultiplicativeOnAnalysisAnomalies":
+ Xn = CovarianceInflation( Xn,
+ selfA._parameters["InflationType"],
+ selfA._parameters["InflationFactor"],
+ )
+ #
+ Xa = Xn.mean(axis=1, dtype=mfp).astype('float').reshape((__n,1))
+ #--------------------------
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJ") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJb") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJo") \
+ or selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") \
+ or selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentAnalysis") \
+ or selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentAnalysis") \
+ or selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ _HXa = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( H((Xa, Un)) )).T
+ _Innovation = Ynpu - _HXa
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"]) )
+ # ---> avec analysis
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xa )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentAnalysis"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentAnalysis"].store( _HXa )
+ if selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentAnalysis"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["InnovationAtCurrentAnalysis"].store( _Innovation )
+ # ---> avec current state
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] \
+ or selfA._toStore("CurrentState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"].store( Xn )
+ if selfA._toStore("ForecastState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["ForecastState"].store( EMX )
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( EMX - Xa )
+ if selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["InnovationAtCurrentState"].store( - HX_predicted + Ynpu )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState") \
+ or selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"].store( HX_predicted )
+ # ---> autres
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJ") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJb") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJo") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ Jb = float( 0.5 * (Xa - Xb).T * BI * (Xa - Xb) )
+ Jo = float( 0.5 * _Innovation.T * RI * _Innovation )
+ J = Jb + Jo
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"].store( Jb )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"].store( Jo )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ].store( J )
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum") \
+ or selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["IndexOfOptimum"].store( IndexMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentAnalysis"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum" ].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( EnsembleErrorCovariance(Xn) )
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters" \
+ and J < previousJMinimum:
+ previousJMinimum = J
+ XaMin = Xa
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ covarianceXaMin = Pn
+ #
+ # Stockage final supplémentaire de l'optimum en estimation de paramètres
+ # ----------------------------------------------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters":
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"]) )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( XaMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( covarianceXaMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Xb) - numpy.ravel(XaMin) )
+ #
+ return 0
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def std3dvar(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q):
+ """
+ 3DVAR
+ """
+ #
+ # Initialisations
+ # ---------------
+ #
+ # Opérateurs
+ Hm = HO["Direct"].appliedTo
+ Ha = HO["Adjoint"].appliedInXTo
+ #
+ # Utilisation éventuelle d'un vecteur H(Xb) précalculé
+ if HO["AppliedInX"] is not None and "HXb" in HO["AppliedInX"]:
+ HXb = Hm( Xb, HO["AppliedInX"]["HXb"] )
+ else:
+ HXb = Hm( Xb )
+ HXb = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( HXb )).T
+ if Y.size != HXb.size:
+ raise ValueError("The size %i of observations Y and %i of observed calculation H(X) are different, they have to be identical."%(Y.size,HXb.size))
+ if max(Y.shape) != max(HXb.shape):
+ raise ValueError("The shapes %s of observations Y and %s of observed calculation H(X) are different, they have to be identical."%(Y.shape,HXb.shape))
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtBackground"):
+ HtMb = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xb)
+ HtMb = HtMb.reshape(Y.size,Xb.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ selfA.StoredVariables["JacobianMatrixAtBackground"].store( HtMb )
+ #
+ # Précalcul des inversions de B et R
+ BI = B.getI()
+ RI = R.getI()
+ #
+ # Point de démarrage de l'optimisation
+ Xini = selfA._parameters["InitializationPoint"]
+ #
+ # Définition de la fonction-coût
+ # ------------------------------
+ def CostFunction(x):
+ _X = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( x )).T
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"].store( _X )
+ _HX = Hm( _X )
+ _HX = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HX )).T
+ _Innovation = Y - _HX
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"].store( _HX )
+ if selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["InnovationAtCurrentState"].store( _Innovation )
+ #
+ Jb = float( 0.5 * (_X - Xb).T * BI * (_X - Xb) )
+ Jo = float( 0.5 * _Innovation.T * RI * _Innovation )
+ J = Jb + Jo
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"]) )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"].store( Jb )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"].store( Jo )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ].store( J )
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["IndexOfOptimum"].store( IndexMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum" ].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ][IndexMin] )
+ return J
+ #
+ def GradientOfCostFunction(x):
+ _X = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( x )).T
+ _HX = Hm( _X )
+ _HX = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HX )).T
+ GradJb = BI * (_X - Xb)
+ GradJo = - Ha( (_X, RI * (Y - _HX)) )
+ GradJ = numpy.ravel( GradJb ) + numpy.ravel( GradJo )
+ return GradJ
+ #
+ # Minimisation de la fonctionnelle
+ # --------------------------------
+ nbPreviousSteps = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"].stepnumber()
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "LBFGSB":
+ if "0.19" <= scipy.version.version <= "1.1.0":
+ import lbfgsbhlt as optimiseur
+ else:
+ import scipy.optimize as optimiseur
+ Minimum, J_optimal, Informations = optimiseur.fmin_l_bfgs_b(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"]-1,
+ factr = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"]*1.e14,
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ iprint = selfA._parameters["optiprint"],
+ )
+ nfeval = Informations['funcalls']
+ rc = Informations['warnflag']
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "TNC":
+ Minimum, nfeval, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_tnc(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ ftol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ messages = selfA._parameters["optmessages"],
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "CG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_cg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "NCG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, hcalls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_ncg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ avextol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "BFGS":
+ Minimum, fopt, gopt, Hopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_bfgs(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ else:
+ raise ValueError("Error in Minimizer name: %s"%selfA._parameters["Minimizer"])
+ #
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ MinJ = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Correction pour pallier a un bug de TNC sur le retour du Minimum
+ # ----------------------------------------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or selfA._toStore("CurrentState"):
+ Minimum = selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Obtention de l'analyse
+ # ----------------------
+ Xa = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xa )
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ elif selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"][-1]
+ else:
+ HXa = Hm( Xa )
+ #
+ # Calcul de la covariance d'analyse
+ # ---------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HtM = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HtM = HtM.reshape(Y.size,Xa.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HaM = HO["Adjoint"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HaM = HaM.reshape(Xa.size,Y.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ HessienneI = []
+ nb = Xa.size
+ for i in range(nb):
+ _ee = numpy.matrix(numpy.zeros(nb)).T
+ _ee[i] = 1.
+ _HtEE = numpy.dot(HtM,_ee)
+ _HtEE = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HtEE )).T
+ HessienneI.append( numpy.ravel( BI*_ee + HaM * (RI * _HtEE) ) )
+ HessienneI = numpy.matrix( HessienneI )
+ A = HessienneI.I
+ if min(A.shape) != max(A.shape):
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is of shape %s, despites it has to be a squared matrix. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,str(A.shape)))
+ if (numpy.diag(A) < 0).any():
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A has at least one negative value on its diagonal. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,))
+ if logging.getLogger().level < logging.WARNING: # La verification n'a lieu qu'en debug
+ try:
+ L = numpy.linalg.cholesky( A )
+ except:
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is not symmetric positive-definite. Please check your a priori covariances and your observation operator."%(selfA._name,))
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( A )
+ if selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"].store( HtM )
+ if selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ if (Y.size <= Xb.size): KG = B * HaM * (R + numpy.dot(HtM, B * HaM)).I
+ elif (Y.size > Xb.size): KG = (BI + numpy.dot(HaM, RI * HtM)).I * HaM * RI
+ selfA.StoredVariables["KalmanGainAtOptimum"].store( KG )
+ #
+ # Calculs et/ou stockages supplémentaires
+ # ---------------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency") or \
+ selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ d = Y - HXb
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Innovation"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Xb) - numpy.ravel(Xa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Y) - numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMB"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2"):
+ TraceR = R.trace(Y.size)
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SigmaObs2"].store( float( (d.T * (numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(Y)).T-numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(HXa)).T)) ) / TraceR )
+ if selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["MahalanobisConsistency"].store( float( 2.*MinJ/d.size ) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ nech = selfA._parameters["NumberOfSamplesForQuantiles"]
+ HXa = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HXa )).T
+ YfQ = None
+ for i in range(nech):
+ if selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "Linear":
+ dXr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A) - Xa.A1).T
+ dYr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HtM * dXr )).T
+ Yr = HXa + dYr
+ elif selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "NonLinear":
+ Xr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A)).T
+ Yr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( Hm( Xr ) )).T
+ if YfQ is None:
+ YfQ = Yr
+ else:
+ YfQ = numpy.hstack((YfQ,Yr))
+ YfQ.sort(axis=-1)
+ YQ = None
+ for quantile in selfA._parameters["Quantiles"]:
+ if not (0. <= float(quantile) <= 1.): continue
+ indice = int(nech * float(quantile) - 1./nech)
+ if YQ is None: YQ = YfQ[:,indice]
+ else: YQ = numpy.hstack((YQ,YfQ[:,indice]))
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulationQuantiles"].store( YQ )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtBackground"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtBackground"].store( numpy.ravel(HXb) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"].store( numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ #
+ return 0
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def std4dvar(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q):
+ """
+ 4DVAR
+ """
+ #
+ # Initialisations
+ # ---------------
+ #
+ # Opérateurs
+ Hm = HO["Direct"].appliedControledFormTo
+ Mm = EM["Direct"].appliedControledFormTo
+ #
+ if CM is not None and "Tangent" in CM and U is not None:
+ Cm = CM["Tangent"].asMatrix(Xb)
+ else:
+ Cm = None
+ #
+ def Un(_step):
+ if U is not None:
+ if hasattr(U,"store") and 1<=_step<len(U) :
+ _Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U[_step] )).T
+ elif hasattr(U,"store") and len(U)==1:
+ _Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U[0] )).T
+ else:
+ _Un = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( U )).T
+ else:
+ _Un = None
+ return _Un
+ def CmUn(_xn,_un):
+ if Cm is not None and _un is not None: # Attention : si Cm est aussi dans M, doublon !
+ _Cm = Cm.reshape(_xn.size,_un.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ _CmUn = _Cm * _un
+ else:
+ _CmUn = 0.
+ return _CmUn
+ #
+ # Remarque : les observations sont exploitées à partir du pas de temps
+ # numéro 1, et sont utilisées dans Yo comme rangées selon ces indices.
+ # Donc le pas 0 n'est pas utilisé puisque la première étape commence
+ # avec l'observation du pas 1.
+ #
+ # Nombre de pas identique au nombre de pas d'observations
+ if hasattr(Y,"stepnumber"):
+ duration = Y.stepnumber()
+ else:
+ duration = 2
+ #
+ # Précalcul des inversions de B et R
+ BI = B.getI()
+ RI = R.getI()
+ #
+ # Point de démarrage de l'optimisation
+ Xini = selfA._parameters["InitializationPoint"]
+ #
+ # Définition de la fonction-coût
+ # ------------------------------
+ selfA.DirectCalculation = [None,] # Le pas 0 n'est pas observé
+ selfA.DirectInnovation = [None,] # Le pas 0 n'est pas observé
+ def CostFunction(x):
+ _X = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( x )).T
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"].store( _X )
+ Jb = float( 0.5 * (_X - Xb).T * BI * (_X - Xb) )
+ selfA.DirectCalculation = [None,]
+ selfA.DirectInnovation = [None,]
+ Jo = 0.
+ _Xn = _X
+ for step in range(0,duration-1):
+ if hasattr(Y,"store"):
+ _Ynpu = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Y[step+1] )).T
+ else:
+ _Ynpu = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Y )).T
+ _Un = Un(step)
+ #
+ # Etape d'évolution
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State":
+ _Xn = Mm( (_Xn, _Un) ) + CmUn(_Xn, _Un)
+ elif selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters":
+ pass
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["Bounds"] is not None and selfA._parameters["ConstrainedBy"] == "EstimateProjection":
+ _Xn = numpy.max(numpy.hstack((_Xn,numpy.asmatrix(selfA._parameters["Bounds"])[:,0])),axis=1)
+ _Xn = numpy.min(numpy.hstack((_Xn,numpy.asmatrix(selfA._parameters["Bounds"])[:,1])),axis=1)
+ #
+ # Etape de différence aux observations
+ if selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "State":
+ _YmHMX = _Ynpu - numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Hm( (_Xn, None) ) )).T
+ elif selfA._parameters["EstimationOf"] == "Parameters":
+ _YmHMX = _Ynpu - numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Hm( (_Xn, _Un) ) )).T - CmUn(_Xn, _Un)
+ #
+ # Stockage de l'état
+ selfA.DirectCalculation.append( _Xn )
+ selfA.DirectInnovation.append( _YmHMX )
+ #
+ # Ajout dans la fonctionnelle d'observation
+ Jo = Jo + 0.5 * float( _YmHMX.T * RI * _YmHMX )
+ J = Jb + Jo
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"]) )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"].store( Jb )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"].store( Jo )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ].store( J )
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["IndexOfOptimum"].store( IndexMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum" ].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"][IndexMin] )
+ return J
+ #
+ def GradientOfCostFunction(x):
+ _X = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( x )).T
+ GradJb = BI * (_X - Xb)
+ GradJo = 0.
+ for step in range(duration-1,0,-1):
+ # Étape de récupération du dernier stockage de l'évolution
+ _Xn = selfA.DirectCalculation.pop()
+ # Étape de récupération du dernier stockage de l'innovation
+ _YmHMX = selfA.DirectInnovation.pop()
+ # Calcul des adjoints
+ Ha = HO["Adjoint"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = _Xn)
+ Ha = Ha.reshape(_Xn.size,_YmHMX.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ Ma = EM["Adjoint"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = _Xn)
+ Ma = Ma.reshape(_Xn.size,_Xn.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ # Calcul du gradient par état adjoint
+ GradJo = GradJo + Ha * RI * _YmHMX # Équivaut pour Ha linéaire à : Ha( (_Xn, RI * _YmHMX) )
+ GradJo = Ma * GradJo # Équivaut pour Ma linéaire à : Ma( (_Xn, GradJo) )
+ GradJ = numpy.ravel( GradJb ) - numpy.ravel( GradJo )
+ return GradJ
+ #
+ # Minimisation de la fonctionnelle
+ # --------------------------------
+ nbPreviousSteps = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"].stepnumber()
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "LBFGSB":
+ if "0.19" <= scipy.version.version <= "1.1.0":
+ import lbfgsbhlt as optimiseur
+ else:
+ import scipy.optimize as optimiseur
+ Minimum, J_optimal, Informations = optimiseur.fmin_l_bfgs_b(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"]-1,
+ factr = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"]*1.e14,
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ iprint = selfA._parameters["optiprint"],
+ )
+ nfeval = Informations['funcalls']
+ rc = Informations['warnflag']
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "TNC":
+ Minimum, nfeval, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_tnc(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ ftol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ messages = selfA._parameters["optmessages"],
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "CG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_cg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "NCG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, hcalls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_ncg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ avextol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "BFGS":
+ Minimum, fopt, gopt, Hopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_bfgs(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ else:
+ raise ValueError("Error in Minimizer name: %s"%selfA._parameters["Minimizer"])
+ #
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ MinJ = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Correction pour pallier a un bug de TNC sur le retour du Minimum
+ # ----------------------------------------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or selfA._toStore("CurrentState"):
+ Minimum = selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Obtention de l'analyse
+ # ----------------------
+ Xa = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xa )
+ #
+ # Calculs et/ou stockages supplémentaires
+ # ---------------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Xb) - numpy.ravel(Xa) )
+ #
+ return 0
+
+# ==============================================================================
+def van3dvar(selfA, Xb, Y, U, HO, EM, CM, R, B, Q):
+ """
+ 3DVAR variational analysis with no inversion of B
+ """
+ #
+ # Initialisations
+ # ---------------
+ #
+ # Opérateurs
+ Hm = HO["Direct"].appliedTo
+ Ha = HO["Adjoint"].appliedInXTo
+ #
+ # Précalcul des inversions de B et R
+ BT = B.getT()
+ RI = R.getI()
+ #
+ # Point de démarrage de l'optimisation
+ Xini = numpy.zeros(Xb.shape)
+ #
+ # Définition de la fonction-coût
+ # ------------------------------
+ def CostFunction(v):
+ _V = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( v )).T
+ _X = Xb + B * _V
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"].store( _X )
+ _HX = Hm( _X )
+ _HX = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HX )).T
+ _Innovation = Y - _HX
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"].store( _HX )
+ if selfA._toStore("InnovationAtCurrentState"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["InnovationAtCurrentState"].store( _Innovation )
+ #
+ Jb = float( 0.5 * _V.T * BT * _V )
+ Jo = float( 0.5 * _Innovation.T * RI * _Innovation )
+ J = Jb + Jo
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentIterationNumber"].store( len(selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"]) )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"].store( Jb )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"].store( Jo )
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ].store( J )
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ if selfA._toStore("IndexOfOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["IndexOfOptimum"].store( IndexMin )
+ if selfA._toStore("CurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJbAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJb"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJoAtCurrentOptimum"].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJo"][IndexMin] )
+ if selfA._toStore("CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJAtCurrentOptimum" ].store( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ" ][IndexMin] )
+ return J
+ #
+ def GradientOfCostFunction(v):
+ _V = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( v )).T
+ _X = Xb + B * _V
+ _HX = Hm( _X )
+ _HX = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HX )).T
+ GradJb = BT * _V
+ GradJo = - Ha( (_X, RI * (Y - _HX)) )
+ GradJ = numpy.ravel( GradJb ) + numpy.ravel( GradJo )
+ return GradJ
+ #
+ # Minimisation de la fonctionnelle
+ # --------------------------------
+ nbPreviousSteps = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"].stepnumber()
+ #
+ if selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "LBFGSB":
+ if "0.19" <= scipy.version.version <= "1.1.0":
+ import lbfgsbhlt as optimiseur
+ else:
+ import scipy.optimize as optimiseur
+ Minimum, J_optimal, Informations = optimiseur.fmin_l_bfgs_b(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"]-1,
+ factr = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"]*1.e14,
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ iprint = selfA._parameters["optiprint"],
+ )
+ nfeval = Informations['funcalls']
+ rc = Informations['warnflag']
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "TNC":
+ Minimum, nfeval, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_tnc(
+ func = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ bounds = selfA._parameters["Bounds"],
+ maxfun = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ pgtol = selfA._parameters["ProjectedGradientTolerance"],
+ ftol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ messages = selfA._parameters["optmessages"],
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "CG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_cg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "NCG":
+ Minimum, fopt, nfeval, grad_calls, hcalls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_ncg(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ avextol = selfA._parameters["CostDecrementTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ elif selfA._parameters["Minimizer"] == "BFGS":
+ Minimum, fopt, gopt, Hopt, nfeval, grad_calls, rc = scipy.optimize.fmin_bfgs(
+ f = CostFunction,
+ x0 = Xini,
+ fprime = GradientOfCostFunction,
+ args = (),
+ maxiter = selfA._parameters["MaximumNumberOfSteps"],
+ gtol = selfA._parameters["GradientNormTolerance"],
+ disp = selfA._parameters["optdisp"],
+ full_output = True,
+ )
+ else:
+ raise ValueError("Error in Minimizer name: %s"%selfA._parameters["Minimizer"])
+ #
+ IndexMin = numpy.argmin( selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][nbPreviousSteps:] ) + nbPreviousSteps
+ MinJ = selfA.StoredVariables["CostFunctionJ"][IndexMin]
+ #
+ # Correction pour pallier a un bug de TNC sur le retour du Minimum
+ # ----------------------------------------------------------------
+ if selfA._parameters["StoreInternalVariables"] or selfA._toStore("CurrentState"):
+ Minimum = selfA.StoredVariables["CurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ Minimum = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ else:
+ Minimum = Xb + B * numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( Minimum )).T
+ #
+ # Obtention de l'analyse
+ # ----------------------
+ Xa = Minimum
+ #
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Analysis"].store( Xa )
+ #
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentState"][IndexMin]
+ elif selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"):
+ HXa = selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtCurrentOptimum"][-1]
+ else:
+ HXa = Hm( Xa )
+ #
+ # Calcul de la covariance d'analyse
+ # ---------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HtM = HO["Tangent"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HtM = HtM.reshape(Y.size,Xa.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles") or \
+ selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ HaM = HO["Adjoint"].asMatrix(ValueForMethodForm = Xa)
+ HaM = HaM.reshape(Xa.size,Y.size) # ADAO & check shape
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ BI = B.getI()
+ HessienneI = []
+ nb = Xa.size
+ for i in range(nb):
+ _ee = numpy.matrix(numpy.zeros(nb)).T
+ _ee[i] = 1.
+ _HtEE = numpy.dot(HtM,_ee)
+ _HtEE = numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel( _HtEE )).T
+ HessienneI.append( numpy.ravel( BI*_ee + HaM * (RI * _HtEE) ) )
+ HessienneI = numpy.matrix( HessienneI )
+ A = HessienneI.I
+ if min(A.shape) != max(A.shape):
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is of shape %s, despites it has to be a squared matrix. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,str(A.shape)))
+ if (numpy.diag(A) < 0).any():
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A has at least one negative value on its diagonal. There is an error in the observation operator, please check it."%(selfA._name,))
+ if logging.getLogger().level < logging.WARNING: # La verification n'a lieu qu'en debug
+ try:
+ L = numpy.linalg.cholesky( A )
+ except:
+ raise ValueError("The %s a posteriori covariance matrix A is not symmetric positive-definite. Please check your a priori covariances and your observation operator."%(selfA._name,))
+ if selfA._toStore("APosterioriCovariance"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["APosterioriCovariance"].store( A )
+ if selfA._toStore("JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["JacobianMatrixAtOptimum"].store( HtM )
+ if selfA._toStore("KalmanGainAtOptimum"):
+ if (Y.size <= Xb.size): KG = B * HaM * (R + numpy.dot(HtM, B * HaM)).I
+ elif (Y.size > Xb.size): KG = (BI + numpy.dot(HaM, RI * HtM)).I * HaM * RI
+ selfA.StoredVariables["KalmanGainAtOptimum"].store( KG )
+ #
+ # Calculs et/ou stockages supplémentaires
+ # ---------------------------------------
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation") or \
+ selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2") or \
+ selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency") or \
+ selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ d = Y - HXb
+ if selfA._toStore("Innovation"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["Innovation"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("BMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["BMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Xb) - numpy.ravel(Xa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMA"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMA"].store( numpy.ravel(Y) - numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ if selfA._toStore("OMB"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["OMB"].store( numpy.ravel(d) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SigmaObs2"):
+ TraceR = R.trace(Y.size)
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SigmaObs2"].store( float( (d.T * (numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(Y)).T-numpy.asmatrix(numpy.ravel(HXa)).T)) ) / TraceR )
+ if selfA._toStore("MahalanobisConsistency"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["MahalanobisConsistency"].store( float( 2.*MinJ/d.size ) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulationQuantiles"):
+ nech = selfA._parameters["NumberOfSamplesForQuantiles"]
+ HXa = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HXa )).T
+ YfQ = None
+ for i in range(nech):
+ if selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "Linear":
+ dXr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A) - Xa.A1).T
+ dYr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( HtM * dXr )).T
+ Yr = HXa + dYr
+ elif selfA._parameters["SimulationForQuantiles"] == "NonLinear":
+ Xr = numpy.matrix(numpy.random.multivariate_normal(Xa.A1,A)).T
+ Yr = numpy.matrix(numpy.ravel( Hm( Xr ) )).T
+ if YfQ is None:
+ YfQ = Yr
+ else:
+ YfQ = numpy.hstack((YfQ,Yr))
+ YfQ.sort(axis=-1)
+ YQ = None
+ for quantile in selfA._parameters["Quantiles"]:
+ if not (0. <= float(quantile) <= 1.): continue
+ indice = int(nech * float(quantile) - 1./nech)
+ if YQ is None: YQ = YfQ[:,indice]
+ else: YQ = numpy.hstack((YQ,YfQ[:,indice]))
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulationQuantiles"].store( YQ )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtBackground"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtBackground"].store( numpy.ravel(HXb) )
+ if selfA._toStore("SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"):
+ selfA.StoredVariables["SimulatedObservationAtOptimum"].store( numpy.ravel(HXa) )
+ #
+ return 0
+